Polls

BUYER’S REMORSE: OBAMA APPROVE DROPS TO 49%…

Gallup tracks daily the percentage of Americans who approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president. Daily results are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,500 national adults; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.
Read the whole story at Gallup 


Romney +4 in Ohio Battleground County (Lake) — Suffolk Polling (Nov 4)

DISCLAIMER:  This is NOT today’s exit polling data.  The poll was conducted Nov 1 -4 and published Nov 5.
I wish I saw this yesterday as this is the exact type of Battleground County polling I would have loved to see this cycle.  Suffolk Polling does a great service digging down on this bellwether county and has some […]


Palin Endorses Romney… Sort Of..

With less than 24 hours to go until Election Day, former Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin endorsed Mitt Romney.
After remaining silent for months, Palin made her case for the GOP ticket in a Facebook posting, arguing that Romney “deserves a chance to lead.”
……
In contrast, her former running mate, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., has been […]


VA ATTORNEY GENERAL: EARLY VOTING FAVORS ROMNEY

Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli examined the early voting totals in Virginia and observed the numbers favor Romney going into Election Day on Tuesday.
Cuccinelli wrote to supporters and declared that Republican-leaning areas have seen an increase in early voting from 2008, while localities which Obama won in 2008 have seen declines in their early voting […]


Final Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (R 49 O 48)

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll of Election 2012 shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate. See daily tracking history.
Rasmussen Reports will continue tracking the president’s job approval rating and other topics, and new results […]


Ohio presidential vote by counties (As of 2:03 AM, Nov 6, 2012)

County
Precs.
Rprtg
Obama
Romney

Totals 9,5504,141   605,546  697,143
Read the whole story at Cincinnati .com


Ohio Early Vote Update (Obama needs to lose Ohio)

 
 

Josh Kraushaar@HotlineJosh
 
Overall, early vote turnout OH up 2.44% in state. Down -4.1% in Obama/Kerry counties; up 14.39% in Bush/McCain counties.
6 Nov 12

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Larry Schweikart@LSchweikart
 
Almost any way I run EV numbers in OH, without counting D-R flips or indies, Romney has to make up 70k on Election Day=piece of cake
6 Nov 12

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Read the whole story at BattlegroundWatch


Compare and Contrast: Romney in New Hampshire versus Obama in Ohio

Compliments to Shane in the comments section and props to Breitbart for the photo:
Romney in Manchester, New Hampshire with Kid Rock

Obama in Columbus, Ohio with Jay-Z and Bruce Springsteen

Draw your own conclusions.
Read the whole story at BattlegroundWatch 


Statistical Analysis: Cuyahoga Early Vote Numbers Show Romney Cutting Obama Lead in ENTIRE STATE by 26%

Down 16% overall, down from 54,340 in 2008 to 45,337 this year– down 9,007 or 16%. And most of the decline came from Democratic voters.The numbers show a huge increase in GOP voters here:Democrats: 127,741 53.36% or 89% of 2008Republicans: 47,091 19.67% or 138% of 2008Other: 64,544 26.96 or 78% of 2008Total: 239,376 or 84% […]


Obama Ends Campaign in Half-Empty Arena

President Obama’s big rally tonight turned out to be just like his first, opening salvo of the 2012 campaign: a half-empty arena in Ohio. According toRealClearPolitics’ Scott Conroy, there were “empty seats scattered around the upper-level of Nationwide Arena … Four years ago, after all, Obama was easily filling venues larger than that …” The […]


Obama Campaign to Supporters: Don’t Panic Over Early Exit Polls

In a conference call this afternoon, President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign had one central message for their supporters when Election Day arrives tomorrow: They should “keep calm,” even if they hear snippets of information favoring Republican Mitt Romney.
“My warning, we need to stay calm for much of the day,” Stephanie Cutter, Mr. Obama’s deputy campaign […]


If Rasmussen is Correct (and he has been in the last two Presidential elections)

Then we’re looking at the Scott Walker recall night all over again.
Rasmussen Reports’s Party Affiliation for October is R +5.8.  Below is Rasmussen’s month-end party ID for each October in Presidential years. We compared that with the exit polling party ID provided by the Winston Group:

Year
Rasmussen
Actual

2004
D +1.5 (Dem 38.7, Rep 37.2)
D +0 (Dem 38, Rep 38)

2008
D +7.1 […]


Gallup: Final: MON 11/05: R:49 O:48

GALLUP: R 49% O 48%
(Excerpt) Read more at DrudgeReport.com


Election 2012: Ohio President Ohio: Romney 49%, Obama 49%

The pivotal presidential state of Ohio remains all tied up on the eve of Election Day.
The final Election 2012 Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each earning 49% support. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) is undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more […]


Rasmussen Party Id: Republicans +5.8 (All Time Record)

Oct 2012: Republican: 39.1% Democrat: 33.3% Other: 27.5% (R+5.8%)
Sep 2012: Republican: 36.8% Democrat: 34.2% Other: 29.0% (R+2.6%)
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com


One Day Before Election:RASMUSSEN: R 49% O 48%

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided.
Rasmussen Reports will conduct our final tracking poll tonight and release the results early Tuesday morning. […]


CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49% .. + 11% Dem!)

Washington (CNN) – It’s all tied up, according to a new national poll released two days before the presidential election.
And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was […]


Amazing photos: ‘Unreal’ crowd packs Romney rally in Bucks County, Pa.

 
“The rally doesn’t even start for hours, but it feels like a Republican Woodstock.” — my mom, calling from Yardley, PA, a swing area.— Robert Costa (@robertcostaNRO) November 4, 2012
 
Traffic backup at Edgewood Shopping Cntr, 1.5 miles to Romney’s rally at Shady Brook Farm, Yardley, PA #election2012— abramgertner (@itabramg) November 4, 2012
The rally isn’t scheduled to begin until […]


Romney’s Pennsylvania volunteers: It’s for real

WOW! One of the biggest crowds I have ever seen. This is quite the welcome in Pennsylvania. pic.twitter.com/g452PGXz

4 Nov 12

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PHILADELPHIA — Linda Mannherz received word from the Romney campaign a couple of days ago that she had been tapped to be among the handful of people to greet the candidate upon his arrival in Pennsylvania.
She said the timing […]


Summary of Obama’s Records after 4 years

After 4 years of Obama:
 

#1 - 23Million unemployed 
#2 - 17Millom more americans on food stamps, 
#3 - 6Million more americans in poverty, 
#4 - 3 straight years of GDP decline, 
#5 - 6 trillion dollars in debt. 

Say hello to our new president, Mitt Romney.